Publications

GLEAM 2.0

• Real-time numerical forecast of global epidemic spreading: case study of 2009 A/H1N1pdm
  Michele Tizzoni, Paolo Bajardi, Chiara Poletto, José J. Ramasco, Duygu Balcan, Bruno Gonçalves, Nicola Perra, Vittoria Colizza, Alessandro Vespignani.
  BMC Medicine 10, 165 (2012).
• The GLEaMviz computational tool, a publicly available software to explore realistic epidemic spreading scenarios at the global scale
  W. Van den Broeck, C. Gioannini, B. Gonçalves, M. Quaggiotto, V. Colizza, A. Vespignani
  BMC Infectious Diseases 11, 37 (2011).
• Human Mobility Networks, Travel Restrictions, and the Global Spread of 2009 H1N1 Pandemic
  P. Bajardi, C. Poletto, J. J. Ramasco, M. Tizzoni, V. Colizza, A. Vespignani
  PLoS ONE 6(1): e16591 (2011).
• Modeling the spatial spread of infectious diseases: The GLobal Epidemic and Mobility computational model
  D.Balcan, B. Gonçalves, H. Hu, J. J. Ramasco, V. Colizza, A. Vespignani
  Journal of Computational Science 1, 132-145 (2010).
• Comparing large-scale computational approaches to epidemic modeling: agent-based versus structured metapopulation models
  M. Ajelli, B. Gonçalves, D. Balcan, V. Colizza, H. Hu, J.J. Ramasco, S. Merler, A. Vespignani
  BMC Infectious Diseases 10, 190 (2010).
• Multiscale mobility networks and the spatial spreading of infectious diseases.
  D.Balcan, V. Colizza, B. Gonçalves, H. Hu, J. J. Ramasco, A. Vespignani
  Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A 106, 21484-21489 (2009).
• Modeling the critical care demand and antibiotics resources needed during the Fall 2009 wave of influenza A(H1N1) pandemic.
  D. Balcan, V. Colizza, A.C. Singer, C. Chouaid, H. Hu, B. Gonçalves, P. Bajardi, C. Poletto, J.J. Ramasco, N. Perra, M. Tizzoni, D. Paolotti, W. Van den Broeck, A. J. Valleron, A. Vespignani.
  PLoS Currents: Influenza. 2009 Dic 4:RRN1133.
• Estimate of Novel Influenza A/H1N1 cases in Mexico at the early stage of the pandemic with a spatially structured epidemic model
  V. Colizza, A. Vespignani, N. Perra, C. Poletto, B. Gonçalves, H. Hu, D. Balcan, D. Paolotti, W. Van den Broeck, M. Tizzoni, P. Bajardi, J.J. Ramasco.
  PLoS Currents: Influenza. 2009 Nov 11:RRN1129.
• Modeling vaccination campaigns and the Fall/Winter 2009 activity of the new A(H1N1) influenza in the Northern Hemisphere
  P. Bajardi, C. Poletto, D. Balcan, H. Hu, B. Goncalves, J. J. Ramasco, D. Paolotti, N. Perra, M. Tizzoni, W. Van den Broeck, V. Colizza, A. Vespignani
  Emerging Health Threats Journal 2:e11 (2009)
• Seasonal transmission potential and activity peaks of the new influenza A(H1N1): a Monte Carlo likelihood analysis based on human mobility
  D. Balcan, H. Hu, B. Goncalves, P. Bajardi, C. Poletto, J. J. Ramasco, D. Paolotti, N. Perra, M. Tizzoni, W. Van den Broeck, V. Colizza, A. Vespignani
  BMC Medicine 7, 45 (2009)
• Predicting the Behavior of Techno-Social Systems
  A. Vespignani
  Science 325, 425 (2009)

GLEAM 1.0

• Predictability and epidemic pathways in global outbreaks of infectious diseases: the SARS case study
  V. Colizza, A. Barrat, M. Barthelemy, A. Vespignani
  BMC Medicine 5, 34 (2007)
• Epidemic predictability in meta-population models with heterogeneous couplings: the impact of disease parameter values
  V. Colizza, A. Barrat, M. Barthelemy, A. Vespignani
  Int. J. Bifurcation & Chaos 17, 2491-2500 (2007)
• Modeling the Worldwide Spread of Pandemic Influenza: Baseline Case and Containment Interventions
  V. Colizza, A. Barrat, M. Barthelemy, A.-J. Valleron, A. Vespignani
  PLoS Medicine 4(1): e13 (2007)
• The Modeling of Global Epidemics: Stochastic Dynamics and Predictability
  V. Colizza, A. Barrat, M. Barthelemy, A. Vespignani
  Bull. Math. Biol. 68, 1893-1921 (2006)
• The role of the airline transportation network in the prediction and predictability of global epidemics
  V. Colizza, A. Barrat, M. Barthelemy, A. Vespignani
  Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA 103, 2015-2020 (2006)