Comments on: New H1N1 Flu projections: impact per country http://www.gleamviz.org/2009/05/new-h1n1-flu-projections-impact-per-country/ Wed, 08 Sep 2010 20:13:41 +0000 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.7.1 hourly 1 By: S. Howell http://www.gleamviz.org/2009/05/new-h1n1-flu-projections-impact-per-country/comment-page-1/#comment-50 S. Howell Mon, 11 May 2009 19:47:08 +0000 http://www.gleamviz.org/?p=739#comment-50 5/1/09 I first read "Worst Case Scenerio" of 1,700 infections by May 17th here: http://news.yahoo.com/s/livescience/20090501/sc_livescience/worstcasescenarioforfluestimated. At that time I was wondering how two teams could make such a confident prediction for a Novel type A virus, particularly in our current era of mobility, using an extremely low-ball idea of "worst-case". I am glad to see that 6 days later you have changed your position and perhaps these predictions will match better with the reality. Thank you for the newer reports, I will gladly recommend your pages. S. Howell 5/1/09 I first read “Worst Case Scenerio” of 1,700 infections by May 17th here: http://news.yahoo.com/s/livescience/20090501/sc_livescience/worstcasescenarioforfluestimated. At that time I was wondering how two teams could make such a confident prediction for a Novel type A virus, particularly in our current era of mobility, using an extremely low-ball idea of “worst-case”. I am glad to see that 6 days later you have changed your position and perhaps these predictions will match better with the reality. Thank you for the newer reports, I will gladly recommend your pages. S. Howell

]]> By: Gleamviz Team http://www.gleamviz.org/2009/05/new-h1n1-flu-projections-impact-per-country/comment-page-1/#comment-49 Gleamviz Team Mon, 11 May 2009 11:41:38 +0000 http://www.gleamviz.org/?p=739#comment-49 Beatriz: Thank you for your kind words. Regarding the number of cases given in the world-wide figure: these are cases confirmed by the governments of the different countries as of May 5. They can be slightly different from the CDC report since we maintain an in-house up-to-date list of confirmed cases based on a number of official sources. We are looking into the broken links issue. Thank you for reporting this. Beatriz: Thank you for your kind words. Regarding the number of cases given in the world-wide figure: these are cases confirmed by the governments of the different countries as of May 5. They can be slightly different from the CDC report since we maintain an in-house up-to-date list of confirmed cases based on a number of official sources.

We are looking into the broken links issue. Thank you for reporting this.

]]> By: Beatriz Vidondo http://www.gleamviz.org/2009/05/new-h1n1-flu-projections-impact-per-country/comment-page-1/#comment-48 Beatriz Vidondo Mon, 11 May 2009 08:30:09 +0000 http://www.gleamviz.org/?p=739#comment-48 I applaud this effort and would like to understand the methods better. Unfortunately many of the links (GLEaM in detail, FAQ) do not work. Is the information on the number of cases per 'date of onset of illness' as published in: http://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/PDF/wk/mm5817.pdf been used to produce these maps? Or rather the total number of confirmed cases per country? I applaud this effort and would like to understand the methods better. Unfortunately many of the links (GLEaM in detail, FAQ) do not work.

Is the information on the number of cases per ‘date of onset of illness’ as published in:
http://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/PDF/wk/mm5817.pdf
been used to produce these maps? Or rather the total number of confirmed cases per country?

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